Lodzki KS 1-1 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 28% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +27%
1.56/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.03
-3% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lodzki KS
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-1 HT 1-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL1
05.09.2022 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 3-2 HT 2-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
20.06.2021 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 0-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
22.05.2021 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 3-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
27.11.2020 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-0 HT 0-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lodzki KS
1-1
AWAY Gornik Leczna
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lodzki KS vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lodzki KS and Gornik Leczna shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lodzki KS at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lodzki KS had 47% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 53%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Lodzki KS and 1.40 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Lodzki KS vs Gornik Leczna?

Lodzki KS 1-1 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lodzki KS vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lodzki KS win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lodzki KS 41%, draw 27%, Gornik Leczna 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lodzki KS), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lodzki KS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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