Lusitania 3-3 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania
3-3
AWAY Academica
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lusitania vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania and Academica shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lusitania had 56% of the ball to Academica's 44%, shots finished 9-16.

What was the final score of Lusitania vs Academica?

Lusitania 3-3 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lusitania 35%, draw 29%, Academica 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Academica), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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