Arsenal Tula 2-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.7pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.88/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.50
+30% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.51 xG 0.91
47% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
268 Passes 240
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-2 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
07.08.2023 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 2-0 HT 2-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
17.03.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
29.08.2022 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 2-2 HT 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
16.03.2019 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 2-0 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS
02.09.2018 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
2-1
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula edged past Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal Tula as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 63% of the ball to Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's 37%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arsenal Tula and 0.50 for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Arsenal Tula 2-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 51%, draw 29%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Tula) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →