Spartak Moskova 3-0 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 5 Aug 2024

Spartak Moskova
3-0 HT 2-0
Krylya Sovetov
📅05/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Spartak Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.14
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.61 — our 28% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.3pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.8pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartak Moskova v Krylya Sovetov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.75/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.51
-14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.5 Crosses 14.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Spartak Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.29 xG 1.28
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
397 Passes 244
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 2-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
01.10.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 4-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
03.06.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
23.11.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
09.10.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 5-2 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
30.08.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK

Spartak Moskova 3-0 Krylya Sovetov — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
3-0
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.59 xG 0.55
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
519 Passes 276
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova ran out comfortable winners over Krylya Sovetov 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 63% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 37%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.59 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Spartak Moskova and 1.50 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov?

Spartak Moskova 3-0 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 53%, draw 24%, Krylya Sovetov 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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