Santos 3-1 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 5 Aug 2025

Santos
3-1 HT 2-1
Juventude
📅05/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Santos vs Juventude Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
12%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.15 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
66%
+3.4pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.6pp
12%
Away Win
14%
-1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos v Juventude — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.81/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.65
+10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
25.9 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3

Santos vs Juventude Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Juventude
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.38 xG 0.52
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
506 Passes 258
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.10.2022 Santos Santos 4-1 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
15.06.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-2 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
26.09.2021 Juventude Juventude 3-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
13.06.2021 Santos Santos 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
09.09.2007 Santos Santos 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
18.06.2007 Juventude Juventude 0-2 HT 0-2 Santos Santos BR1

Santos 3-1 Juventude — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
3-1
AWAY Juventude
2.71 xG 1.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
318 Passes 334
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santos vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos beat Juventude 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Santos had 50% of the ball to Juventude's 50%, shots finished 19-20, expected goals 2.71 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santos and 0.83 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Santos vs Juventude?

Santos 3-1 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Santos 69%, draw 19%, Juventude 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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