Panathinaikos 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 5 Aug 2026

📅05/08/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
9.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
72%
-0.3pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.5pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.21/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -44%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
468 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
38.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.1 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 8.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
1W-0D-0L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
2 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
05.07.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
1-1
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
0.99 xG 1.01
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 7
567 Passes 200
30 Box Touches 19
34 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948 Sofia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Panathinaikos carried 72% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.99 to 1.01.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Panathinaikos 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 72%, draw 17%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 11%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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