Vila Nova 1-0 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 5 Sep 2024

Vila Nova
1-0 HT 0-0
CRB
📅05/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Vila Nova vs CRB Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.82
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.7pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vila Nova v CRB — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.16/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.33
-24% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
20.6 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Vila Nova vs CRB Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vila Nova
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CRB
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.58 xG 0.65
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 Passes 317
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.05.2024 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
03.09.2023 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
22.05.2023 CRB CRB 0-3 HT 0-2 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
23.09.2022 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
11.06.2022 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
19.10.2021 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2

Vila Nova 1-0 CRB — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Nova
1-0
AWAY CRB
1.07 xG 0.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 7
279 Passes 285
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vila Nova vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Nova nicked a narrow win over CRB 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vila Nova as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Vila Nova had 49% of the ball to CRB's 51%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.07 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CRB led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vila Nova and 0.50 for CRB.

What was the final score of Vila Nova vs CRB?

Vila Nova 1-0 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 46%, draw 30%, CRB 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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