Spokane Velocity 2-1 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 5 Sep 2024

📅05/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 45%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.73/3.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.05
+48% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
25.0 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spokane Velocity
2-1
AWAY Union Omaha
1.13 xG 1.24
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 9
272 Passes 407
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity edged past Union Omaha 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Union Omaha at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Spokane Velocity had 41% of the ball to Union Omaha's 59%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 1.13 to 1.24.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs Union Omaha?

Spokane Velocity 2-1 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 34%, draw 24%, Union Omaha 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Omaha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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