İtalya U21 2-1 Karadağ U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 5 Sep 2025

İtalya U21
2-1 HT 0-1
Karadağ U21
📅05/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
European U21 – 2027

İtalya U21 vs Karadağ U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.22
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.57
6+ Goals
12%
6.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
13%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
78%
-0.1pp
14%
Draw
15%
-0.6pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İtalya U21 v Karadağ U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U21 EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Karadağ U21 EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.63/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/1.08
+9% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +29%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
431 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 72%
44.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
25.1 Crosses 11.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

İtalya U21 vs Karadağ U21 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya U21
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Karadağ U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.91 xG 0.70
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
352 Passes 152
78% Pass Accuracy 60%
16 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.03.2022 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 1-1 HT 1-1 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 U21
07.09.2021 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 1-0 HT 0-0 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 U21

İtalya U21 2-1 Karadağ U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U21
2-1
AWAY Karadağ U21
72% Ball Possession 28%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
POST-MATCH İtalya U21 vs Karadağ U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U21 edged past Karadağ U21 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İtalya U21 as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, İtalya U21 had 72% of the ball to Karadağ U21's 28%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, İtalya U21 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İtalya U21 and 0.50 for Karadağ U21.

What was the final score of İtalya U21 vs Karadağ U21?

İtalya U21 2-1 Karadağ U21 in the European U21 on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U21 vs Karadağ U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split İtalya U21 78%, draw 14%, Karadağ U21 8%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İtalya U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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