05/09/2026
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
⟳Odds and our pick may update before kickoff — check again closer to match time. This match may also enter or leave our daily prediction lists until kick-off; from kick-off, a listed pick is locked and stays published.
Keflavik vs Valur Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Total Goals
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· fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
Keflavik v Valur — Team-Based Signals
SIGNALS
Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
Keflavik vs Valur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Keflavik
1W-4D-1L
AWAY
Valur
1.33
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
1.16
xG
1.56
41%
Ball Possession
59%
13
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
9
190
Passes
486
67%
Pass Accuracy
84%
20
Box Touches
36
18
Crosses
35
2
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
PREVIEW
Keflavik vs Valur
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW
There's a lean to Keflavik in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.
Keflavik have won 4 of their last 5 home league games.
Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Keflavik against 1.00 for Valur.
Keflavik vs Valur Kick-off Time
Keflavik play Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/09/2026, kick-off 19:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Keflavik vs Valur Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Keflavik vs Valur is a Keflavik win at about 46% probability, priced 2.05 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Keflavik 46%, draw 22%, Valur 32%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.
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