Willem II vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Willem II v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals
Willem II vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Our model can't split Willem II and Excelsior in any meaningful way; small margins will decide it.
Willem II have lost 4 of their last 5 home league games, while Excelsior's recent away league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Willem II against 1.33 for Excelsior.
Willem II vs Excelsior Kick-off Time
Willem II play Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 05/09/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Willem II vs Excelsior Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Willem II vs Excelsior is an Excelsior win at about 42% probability, priced 2.24 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Willem II 32%, draw 26%, Excelsior 42%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.