Penafiel vs Academica Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Portugal - 2nd Division, 5 Sep 2026

📅05/09/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penafiel
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Academica
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.04
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
350 Passes 302
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2022 Academica Academica 0-0 HT 0-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
05.12.2021 Penafiel Penafiel 0-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR2
07.03.2021 Penafiel Penafiel 1-2 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR2
18.10.2020 Academica Academica 2-1 HT 2-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
05.03.2020 Academica Academica 3-0 HT 1-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
26.10.2019 Penafiel Penafiel 0-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR2
PREVIEW Penafiel vs Academica
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

There's a lean to Penafiel in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.

Penafiel arrive on a real home run — 4 wins from the last 5 in the league.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Penafiel against 1.17 for Academica.

Penafiel vs Academica Kick-off Time

Penafiel play Academica in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/09/2026, kick-off 16:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Penafiel vs Academica Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Penafiel vs Academica is a Penafiel win at about 43% probability, priced 2.05 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Penafiel 43%, draw 29%, Academica 29%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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