Zbrojovka Brno 2-2 Graffin Vlasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.6pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zbrojovka Brno EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 32%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.56/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.55
-66% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zbrojovka Brno
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.07.2023 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 1-1 HT 0-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
01.05.2022 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-2 HT 1-1 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno ÇEK2
29.10.2021 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 2-1 HT 1-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
14.07.2020 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 4-0 HT 2-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zbrojovka Brno
2-2
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zbrojovka Brno vs Graffin Vlasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zbrojovka Brno and Graffin Vlasim couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Zbrojovka Brno at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zbrojovka Brno had 45% of the ball to Graffin Vlasim's 55%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zbrojovka Brno had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Zbrojovka Brno and 0.75 for Graffin Vlasim.

What was the final score of Zbrojovka Brno vs Graffin Vlasim?

Zbrojovka Brno 2-2 Graffin Vlasim in the Czech Republic - FNL on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zbrojovka Brno vs Graffin Vlasim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zbrojovka Brno win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zbrojovka Brno 42%, draw 25%, Graffin Vlasim 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zbrojovka Brno) ✗ Under 2.5
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