Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 4-2 Aston Villa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
4-2 HT 2-1
Aston Villa (K)
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2024/2025

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.07
Over 2.5
40%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.6
No
57%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+8.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
44%
+15.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
56%
-15.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.1pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) v Aston Villa (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
0.89/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.80
-68% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +114%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 83%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
17.5 Crosses 9.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.48 xG 1.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
357 Passes 407
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.05.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) İNKPL

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 4-2 Aston Villa (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
4-2
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
2.63 xG 2.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
437 Passes 347
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 45
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Aston Villa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) got the better of Aston Villa (K) 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brighton & Hove Albion (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) had 54% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 46%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 2.63 to 2.34.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 4-2 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 44%, draw 23%, Aston Villa (K) 34%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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