Baden 1-2 Grand-Saconnex — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 5 Oct 2024

Baden
1-2
Grand-Saconnex
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme – 2024/2025

Baden vs Grand-Saconnex Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.9pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.0pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baden v Grand-Saconnex — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baden EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Grand-Saconnex EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.91/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.50
+13% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Baden vs Grand-Saconnex
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grand-Saconnex nicked a narrow win over Baden 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 40%) promised a tight game; Grand-Saconnex found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Baden vs Grand-Saconnex?

Baden 1-2 Grand-Saconnex in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baden vs Grand-Saconnex?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grand-Saconnex win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Baden 39%, draw 21%, Grand-Saconnex 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grand-Saconnex), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grand-Saconnex) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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