Madrid CFF (K) 1-8 Barcelona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
12.23
Draw
33%
8.78
Away
33%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
5%
+28.7pp
33%
Draw
8%
+25.8pp
33%
Away Win
88%
-54.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 94%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 52.9
Crosses 31.3
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Barcelona (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 8.00
0.15 xG 2.98
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 30
1 Shots on Target 19
2 Corners 12
334 Passes 691
80% Pass Accuracy 91%
8 Box Touches 62
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
01.05.2024 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 8-0 HT 5-0 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
1-8
AWAY Barcelona (K)
0.69 xG 4.89
26% Ball Possession 74%
4 Total Shots 40
2 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 10
151 Passes 586
64% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 60
4 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Madrid CFF (K) vs Barcelona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) ran out comfortable winners over Madrid CFF (K) 8-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Barcelona (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Madrid CFF (K) had 26% of the ball to Barcelona (K)'s 74%, shots finished 4-40, expected goals 0.69 to 4.89.

What was the final score of Madrid CFF (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Madrid CFF (K) 1-8 Barcelona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid CFF (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madrid CFF (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Madrid CFF (K) 33%, draw 33%, Barcelona (K) 33%. The final score 1-8 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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