Bayern München (K) 1-0 Köln (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 5 Oct 2024

Bayern München (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Köln (K)
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Bayern München (K) vs Köln (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.78
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.0
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
85%
-22.5pp
20%
Draw
8%
+11.6pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern München (K) v Köln (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.61/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.82
+40% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +27%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
503 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
18.8 Crosses 15.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0

Bayern München (K) vs Köln (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Köln (K)
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.90 xG 0.29
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
537 Passes 226
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Köln (K) Köln (K) 0-5 HT 0-3 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB
02.10.2023 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Köln (K) Köln (K) ALKB

Bayern München (K) 1-0 Köln (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
1-0
AWAY Köln (K)
0.46 xG 0.41
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
593 Passes 226
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 11
8 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Köln (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) squeezed past Köln (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 68% of the ball to Köln (K)'s 32%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.46 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayern München (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Bayern München (K) and 0.00 for Köln (K).

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Köln (K)?

Bayern München (K) 1-0 Köln (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Köln (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 63%, draw 20%, Köln (K) 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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