Esperança dAndorra 0-5 Atletic Club DEscaldes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
12.23
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
71%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.59
Over 2.5
67%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
46%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
5%
+5.7pp
18%
Draw
9%
+8.4pp
71%
Away Win
85%
-13.9pp
33%
Under 2.5
24%
+8.5pp
67%
Over 2.5
76%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esperança dAndorra EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletic Club DEscaldes EU Bookmakers 91%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.15/3.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.85/0.32
-75% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +56%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 539 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esperança dAndorra
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Atletic Club DEscaldes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes AND
28.01.2024 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 0-5 HT 0-1 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes AND
12.11.2023 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes 3-1 HT 1-1 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
POST-MATCH Esperança dAndorra vs Atletic Club DEscaldes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletic Club DEscaldes cruised past Esperança dAndorra 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletic Club DEscaldes as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletic Club DEscaldes led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Esperança dAndorra and 3.67 for Atletic Club DEscaldes.

What was the final score of Esperança dAndorra vs Atletic Club DEscaldes?

Esperança dAndorra 0-5 Atletic Club DEscaldes in the Andorra - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esperança dAndorra vs Atletic Club DEscaldes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletic Club DEscaldes win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Esperança dAndorra 11%, draw 18%, Atletic Club DEscaldes 71%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletic Club DEscaldes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletic Club DEscaldes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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