RWDM 47 1-1 La Louvière — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.0
Over 2.5
38%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.77
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
14%
3.23
6+ Goals
8%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 33% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-13.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+8.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
46%
+15.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
54%
-15.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY La Louvière EU Bookmakers 25%
+21% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
2.55/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+44% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +63%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.2 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RWDM 47
1-1
AWAY La Louvière
0.39 xG 1.41
62% Ball Possession 38%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
426 Passes 190
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
6 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RWDM 47 vs La Louvière
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RWDM 47 and La Louvière couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was RWDM 47 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, RWDM 47 had 62% of the ball to La Louvière's 38%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.39 to 1.41.

What was the final score of RWDM 47 vs La Louvière?

RWDM 47 1-1 La Louvière in the Belgium - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RWDM 47 vs La Louvière?

Before kick-off our model rated a RWDM 47 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split RWDM 47 41%, draw 29%, La Louvière 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (RWDM 47), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RWDM 47) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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