Orsha 1-1 Lokomotiv Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.6pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.71/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.58
+7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsha
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.06.2024 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-1 HT 1-1 Orsha Orsha BLR1
26.08.2023 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-2 HT 1-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
17.10.2021 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 2-1 HT 1-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
01.08.2021 Orsha Orsha 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
10.05.2021 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 2-1 HT 1-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
14.06.2020 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-1 HT 0-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orsha
1-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orsha vs Lokomotiv Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsha and Lokomotiv Gomel shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Orsha had 59% of the ball to Lokomotiv Gomel's 41%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Orsha and 1.17 for Lokomotiv Gomel.

What was the final score of Orsha vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

Orsha 1-1 Lokomotiv Gomel in the Belarus - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orsha win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Orsha 40%, draw 33%, Lokomotiv Gomel 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orsha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orsha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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