Chabab Ben Guerir 2-1 Youssoufia Berrechid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.92
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
34%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.33
Over 2.5
31%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.75
No
68%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
48%
-12.9pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
21%
+13.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
72%
-2.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
28%
+2.9pp
32%
BTTS Yes
32%
+0.3pp
68%
BTTS No
68%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Youssoufia Berrechid EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.76/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.33
-45% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Youssoufia Berrechid
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.03.2023 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid 1-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
POST-MATCH Chabab Ben Guerir vs Youssoufia Berrechid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chabab Ben Guerir edged past Youssoufia Berrechid 2-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Chabab Ben Guerir found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Chabab Ben Guerir vs Youssoufia Berrechid?

Chabab Ben Guerir 2-1 Youssoufia Berrechid in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Ben Guerir vs Youssoufia Berrechid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chabab Ben Guerir win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Chabab Ben Guerir 35%, draw 31%, Youssoufia Berrechid 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chabab Ben Guerir) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chabab Ben Guerir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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