Upington City 1-0 Venda FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.47
Draw
35%
3.94
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-15.9pp
35%
Draw
22%
+12.8pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Upington City EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Venda FC EU Bookmakers 17%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.40
-26% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Upington City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Venda FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
16.12.2023 Venda FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Upington City Upington City GAF1
POST-MATCH Upington City vs Venda FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Upington City nicked a narrow win over Venda FC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Upington City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Upington City vs Venda FC?

Upington City 1-0 Venda FC in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Upington City vs Venda FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Upington City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Upington City 48%, draw 35%, Venda FC 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Upington City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Upington City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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