Orlando Pirates 3-1 Stellenbosch FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.36
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
1.61/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/1.91
+11% / +147% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
13.6 Crosses 16.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 0.64
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
445 Passes 212
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.12.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-3 HT 1-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
24.09.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-1 HT 0-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAF8K
03.09.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAF8K
05.08.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
22.01.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 4-1 HT 2-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
10.08.2022 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
3-1
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
2.23 xG 0.52
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
396 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates got the better of Stellenbosch FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 56% of the ball to Stellenbosch FC's 44%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 2.23 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stellenbosch FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orlando Pirates and 1.33 for Stellenbosch FC.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch FC?

Orlando Pirates 3-1 Stellenbosch FC in the South Afrika - Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 47%, draw 28%, Stellenbosch FC 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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