ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 Mohammedan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Mohammedan EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.1 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3-0
AWAY Mohammedan
1.78 xG 0.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
22 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
280 Passes 308
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan cruised past Mohammedan 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 47% of the ball to Mohammedan's 53%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.78 to 0.28.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan?

ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 Mohammedan in the India - Super League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 44%, draw 25%, Mohammedan 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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