Telstar (K) 1-4 Fortuna Sittard (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
54%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
25%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
54%
Away Win
54%
-0.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K) EU Bookmakers 59%
+62% / +62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+82% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 8.00
0.68 xG 4.33
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 14
5 Corners 11
141 Passes 427
59% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 38
15 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 0
22.03.2024 Telstar (K) Telstar (K) 0-8 HT 0-5 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar (K)
1-4
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K)
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
318 Passes 297
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Telstar (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Sittard (K) cruised past Telstar (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortuna Sittard (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Telstar (K) had 53% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard (K)'s 47%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Telstar (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Telstar (K) 1-4 Fortuna Sittard (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Sittard (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Telstar (K) 25%, draw 21%, Fortuna Sittard (K) 54%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Sittard (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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