Lobi Stars 1-0 Shooting Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 5 Oct 2024

Lobi Stars
1-0 HT 1-0
Shooting Stars
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Lobi Stars vs Shooting Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
36%
3.35
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.0pp
36%
Draw
27%
+9.8pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.3pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lobi Stars v Shooting Stars — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.18/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/0.86
-20% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +52%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.3 Yellow Cards –

Lobi Stars vs Shooting Stars Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobi Stars
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Shooting Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.04.2024 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
29.12.2021 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 2-1 HT 0-1 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ

Lobi Stars 1-0 Shooting Stars — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lobi Stars
1-0
AWAY Shooting Stars
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lobi Stars vs Shooting Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobi Stars squeezed past Shooting Stars 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lobi Stars as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lobi Stars had 47% of the ball to Shooting Stars's 53%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lobi Stars and 1.50 for Shooting Stars.

What was the final score of Lobi Stars vs Shooting Stars?

Lobi Stars 1-0 Shooting Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobi Stars vs Shooting Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lobi Stars 44%, draw 36%, Shooting Stars 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lobi Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lobi Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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