Hutnik Krakow 1-1 LKS Lodz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 25% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY LKS Lodz II EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.86/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.54
+18% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hutnik Krakow
1W-1D-0L
AWAY LKS Lodz II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2024 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II 0-0 HT 0-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
03.09.2023 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 4-1 HT 3-0 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hutnik Krakow
1-1
AWAY LKS Lodz II
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hutnik Krakow vs LKS Lodz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hutnik Krakow and LKS Lodz II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Hutnik Krakow at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hutnik Krakow had 57% of the ball to LKS Lodz II's 43%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hutnik Krakow had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hutnik Krakow and 0.50 for LKS Lodz II.

What was the final score of Hutnik Krakow vs LKS Lodz II?

Hutnik Krakow 1-1 LKS Lodz II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hutnik Krakow vs LKS Lodz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hutnik Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hutnik Krakow 47%, draw 28%, LKS Lodz II 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hutnik Krakow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hutnik Krakow) ✓ BTTS Yes
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