Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-2 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
1.30/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.47
-24% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
16.5 Crosses 15.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.30 xG 1.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
206 Passes 264
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-0 HT 0-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
05.08.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 0-2 HT 0-2 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
1-2
AWAY Mladost Lucani
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani nicked a narrow win over Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zeleznicar Pancevo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Zeleznicar Pancevo had 63% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 37%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mladost Lucani led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Zeleznicar Pancevo and 1.50 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Mladost Lucani?

Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-2 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zeleznicar Pancevo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zeleznicar Pancevo 44%, draw 28%, Mladost Lucani 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
5 Oct 2024
15:00 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Cukaricki Stankom Analysis →
19:30 FK Partizan vs Tekstilac Odzaci Analysis →