Al Adalah 1-1 Al Jabalain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
22%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-4.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Adalah EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jabalain EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.24/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.86
-8% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +49%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
242 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Adalah
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Jabalain
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD1
23.10.2023 Al Adalah Al Adalah 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
07.02.2022 Al Adalah Al Adalah 0-2 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
29.09.2021 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Adalah
1-1
AWAY Al Jabalain
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Adalah vs Al Jabalain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Adalah and Al Jabalain couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Adalah at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Al Adalah had 51% of the ball to Al Jabalain's 49%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Adalah had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Adalah and 1.25 for Al Jabalain.

What was the final score of Al Adalah vs Al Jabalain?

Al Adalah 1-1 Al Jabalain in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Adalah vs Al Jabalain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Adalah win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Adalah 49%, draw 29%, Al Jabalain 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Adalah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Adalah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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