Shaanxi Union 3-1 Shanghai Jiading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.31
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 36% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.2pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shaanxi Union EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 20%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.37/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.06
-11% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +51%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
15.1 Crosses 12.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shaanxi Union
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.46 xG 2.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
28 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
340 Passes 323
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
25.05.2025 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 2-4 HT 0-3 Shaanxi Union Shaanxi Union ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shaanxi Union
3-1
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
1.88 xG 0.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
381 Passes 297
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shaanxi Union vs Shanghai Jiading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shaanxi Union saw off Shanghai Jiading 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shaanxi Union as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shaanxi Union had 54% of the ball to Shanghai Jiading's 46%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.88 to 0.59.

What was the final score of Shaanxi Union vs Shanghai Jiading?

Shaanxi Union 3-1 Shanghai Jiading in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shaanxi Union vs Shanghai Jiading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shaanxi Union win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Shaanxi Union 60%, draw 23%, Shanghai Jiading 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shaanxi Union) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shaanxi Union) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
5 Oct 2025
00:00 Rizhao Yuqi vs Wenzhou FC Analysis →
00:00 Jiangxi Beidamen vs Ganzhou Ruishi Analysis →
10:00 Liaoning Shenyang vs Suzhou Dongwu Analysis →
10:30 Shandong Taishan II vs Guangxi Hengchen Analysis →
11:00 Guizhou Zhucheng vs Changchun Xidu Analysis →
12:00 Guangxi Lanhang vs Taian Tiankuang Analysis →