London City (K) 1-0 Liverpool (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒13:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME London City (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +59% / +59%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
306 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
Crosses 17.4
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME London City (K)
1-0
AWAY Liverpool (K)
2.06 xG 0.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 1
399 Passes 351
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 2
10 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH London City (K) vs Liverpool (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

London City (K) nicked a narrow win over Liverpool (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had London City (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, London City (K) had 52% of the ball to Liverpool (K)'s 48%, shots finished 9-3, expected goals 2.06 to 0.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold London City (K)'s control.

What was the final score of London City (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

London City (K) 1-0 Liverpool (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for London City (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a London City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split London City (K) 44%, draw 25%, Liverpool (K) 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (London City (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (London City (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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