Örebro 4-1 Falkenbergs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 5 Oct 2025

Örebro
4-1 HT 3-1
Falkenbergs FF
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2025

Örebro vs Falkenbergs FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.09
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
8.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.13
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
17%
5.44
X/2
12%
6.59
X/X
8%
5.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.55
2/2
14%
4.21
2/X
11%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örebro v Falkenbergs FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örebro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkenbergs FF EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -18%
1.40/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.01
-10% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

Örebro vs Falkenbergs FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örebro
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Falkenbergs FF
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.45 xG 1.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
369 Passes 244
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.04.2025 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 2-1 HT 1-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
17.10.2020 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 2-1 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ
01.08.2020 Örebro Örebro 1-2 HT 0-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ
20.07.2019 Örebro Örebro 4-0 HT 3-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ
31.03.2019 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 1-0 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ
28.08.2016 Örebro Örebro 3-2 HT 1-1 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ

Örebro 4-1 Falkenbergs FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örebro
4-1
AWAY Falkenbergs FF
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Örebro vs Falkenbergs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro ran out comfortable winners over Falkenbergs FF 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Örebro as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Örebro had 62% of the ball to Falkenbergs FF's 38%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkenbergs FF led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Örebro and 1.50 for Falkenbergs FF.

What was the final score of Örebro vs Falkenbergs FF?

Örebro 4-1 Falkenbergs FF in the Sweden - Superettan on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örebro vs Falkenbergs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örebro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Örebro 41%, draw 25%, Falkenbergs FF 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örebro), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Örebro) ✓ BTTS Yes
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