05/10/2025
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-2
Napoli U20 vs Roma U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
20%
Draw
23%
57%
Away Win
54%
52%
Under 2.5
41%
48%
Over 2.5
59%
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
56%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Napoli U20 v Roma U20 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Napoli U20
EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Roma U20
EU Bookmakers 58%
-46% /
-46%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-2%
0.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.41/2.14
-100%
/
-29%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+53%
/
-35%
43%
Ball Possession
57%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
285 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
391 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.2
POST-MATCH
Napoli U20 vs Roma U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Roma U20 saw off Napoli U20 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Roma U20 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Napoli U20 vs Roma U20?
Napoli U20 0-2 Roma U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Napoli U20 vs Roma U20?
Before kick-off our model rated an Roma U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Napoli U20 23%, draw 20%, Roma U20 57%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma U20), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Roma U20)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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