Alhama (K) 3-1 Deportivo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.6pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alhama (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alhama (K)
3-1
AWAY Deportivo (K)
0.70 xG 1.11
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 8
175 Passes 354
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
6 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alhama (K) vs Deportivo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alhama (K) beat Deportivo (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Alhama (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Alhama (K) had 37% of the ball to Deportivo (K)'s 63%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.70 to 1.11 — on chances, Deportivo (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Alhama (K) vs Deportivo (K)?

Alhama (K) 3-1 Deportivo (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alhama (K) vs Deportivo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alhama (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Alhama (K) 33%, draw 33%, Deportivo (K) 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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