Qabala 0-1 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 5 Oct 2025

Qabala
0-1 HT 0-1
Shamakhi
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Qabala vs Shamakhi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.9pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Qabala v Shamakhi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -19%
1.49/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.24
+28% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Qabala vs Shamakhi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Shamakhi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.05.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
17.03.2023 Qabala Qabala 2-0 HT 2-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
14.10.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-1 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
14.08.2022 Qabala Qabala 3-1 HT 3-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
15.05.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-1 Qabala Qabala AZERS
03.04.2022 Qabala Qabala 1-1 HT 0-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi edged past Qabala 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Qabala at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qabala had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Qabala and 0.50 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Shamakhi?

Qabala 0-1 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qabala win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Qabala 43%, draw 24%, Shamakhi 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Qabala) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Qabala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
5 Oct 2025
14:00 Karvan Evlakh vs Sabah Analysis →