Al Thaid 3-3 Masfut — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒16:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
16%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Masfut EU Bookmakers 40%
-13% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +28%
1.33/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.74
-6% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +93%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Thaid
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Masfut
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Masfut Masfut 0-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
09.03.2025 Masfut Masfut 0-2 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
24.11.2024 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-0 Masfut Masfut BAE2
02.11.2024 Al Thaid Al Thaid 2-2 Masfut Masfut BAE2
13.01.2024 Masfut Masfut 4-2 HT 3-2 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
14.10.2023 Masfut Masfut 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAECK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Thaid
3-3
AWAY Masfut
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Thaid vs Masfut
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Thaid and Masfut shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Masfut at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al Thaid had 50% of the ball to Masfut's 50%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Thaid had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Thaid and 1.17 for Masfut.

What was the final score of Al Thaid vs Masfut?

Al Thaid 3-3 Masfut in the UAE - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Thaid vs Masfut?

Before kick-off our model rated an Masfut win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Thaid 32%, draw 25%, Masfut 43%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Masfut) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Masfut) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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