Malacateco 1-0 Mictlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.8pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mictlan EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.86/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.00
+2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +59%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mictlan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 Mictlan Mictlan 2-2 HT 0-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malacateco
1-0
AWAY Mictlan
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Mictlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco squeezed past Mictlan 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Malacateco had 51% of the ball to Mictlan's 49%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Mictlan?

Malacateco 1-0 Mictlan in the Guatemala - National League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Mictlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 54%, draw 20%, Mictlan 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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