Ajka 0-1 Karcag SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.2pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.2pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.4pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Karcag SE EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.33/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-5% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Karcag SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karcag SE squeezed past Ajka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ajka at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Karcag SE?

Ajka 0-1 Karcag SE in the Hungary - NB II on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Karcag SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ajka 45%, draw 21%, Karcag SE 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ajka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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