Budapest Honved II 2-0 ESMTK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
4.71
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
66%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
45%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
18%
-5.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
66%
Away Win
58%
+7.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Honved II EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY ESMTK EU Bookmakers 62%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.19
-100% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Budapest Honved II vs ESMTK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budapest Honved II got the better of ESMTK 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ESMTK at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Budapest Honved II vs ESMTK?

Budapest Honved II 2-0 ESMTK in the Hungary - NB III on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Honved II vs ESMTK?

Before kick-off our model rated an ESMTK win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Budapest Honved II 13%, draw 21%, ESMTK 66%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (ESMTK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ESMTK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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