Alianza Universidad vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Alianza Universidad v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Universidad vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Alianza Universidad 2-1 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Universidad edged past Alianza Lima 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
A gentle 48% lean on Alianza Lima didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Alianza Universidad had 39% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 61%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.75 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Alianza Universidad and 1.40 for Alianza Lima.
Alianza Universidad vs Alianza Lima Result & Final Score
Alianza Universidad 2 - 1 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Alianza Universidad vs Alianza Lima Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Alianza Universidad 26%, draw 26%, Alianza Lima 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alianza Lima) went the other way.