Ankaraspor 1-1 İnegölspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ankaraspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY İnegölspor EU Bookmakers 26%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.57/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.30
-65% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -45%
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
303 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ankaraspor
1W-2D-1L
AWAY İnegölspor
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Ankaraspor 6-0 HT 4-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor T2L-K
10.12.2022 İnegölspor İnegölspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Ankaraspor S2-B
16.01.2022 İnegölspor İnegölspor 3-1 HT 1-0 Ankaraspor S2-K
05.09.2021 Ankaraspor 1-1 HT 1-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ankaraspor
1-1
AWAY İnegölspor
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ankaraspor vs İnegölspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ankaraspor and İnegölspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ankaraspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ankaraspor had 50% of the ball to İnegölspor's 50%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Ankaraspor and 1.25 for İnegölspor.

What was the final score of Ankaraspor vs İnegölspor?

Ankaraspor 1-1 İnegölspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ankaraspor vs İnegölspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ankaraspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ankaraspor 46%, draw 23%, İnegölspor 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ankaraspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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