Burton Albion 0-0 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.68
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.54
X/2
12%
7.33
X/X
11%
4.93
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
13%
5.25
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.58/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.09
-8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
281 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 69%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
21.7 Crosses 14.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Crawley Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
31.03.2012 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
10.12.2011 Crawley Town Crawley Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN2
04.04.2009 Crawley Town Crawley Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İBSL
04.10.2008 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-1 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İBSL
22.03.2008 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İBSL
01.09.2007 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
0-0
AWAY Crawley Town
0.56 xG 0.66
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
289 Passes 491
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burton Albion and Crawley Town played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Burton Albion at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Burton Albion had 40% of the ball to Crawley Town's 60%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.56 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Burton Albion and 1.50 for Crawley Town.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Crawley Town?

Burton Albion 0-0 Crawley Town in the England - 1st Division on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 44%, draw 25%, Crawley Town 31%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Burton Albion) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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