Morpeth Town 3-0 Mickleover Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Mickleover Sports EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
2.09/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.75
+21% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Mickleover Sports
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.03.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Mickleover Sports İNGNLP
09.10.2021 Mickleover Sports 0-4 HT 0-3 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morpeth Town
3-0
AWAY Mickleover Sports
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Mickleover Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morpeth Town ran out comfortable winners over Mickleover Sports 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Morpeth Town as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Morpeth Town had 55% of the ball to Mickleover Sports's 45%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Morpeth Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Morpeth Town and 0.50 for Mickleover Sports.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Mickleover Sports?

Morpeth Town 3-0 Mickleover Sports in the England - Non League Premier on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Mickleover Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morpeth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 46%, draw 21%, Mickleover Sports 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Morpeth Town), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Morpeth Town) ✓ Over 2.5
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