Chiclana 0-5 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
12.23
Draw
13%
8.78
Away
64%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
3.59
Over Pick
66%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
35%
4-5
28%
6+
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
51%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
5%
+18.6pp
12%
Draw
8%
+5.0pp
64%
Away Win
88%
-23.6pp
34%
Under 2.5
24%
+9.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
76%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiclana EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 94%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.09/2.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/0.44
-100% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -16%
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
216 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 489 · 84%
4.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.5
8.0 Crosses 33.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiclana
0-5
AWAY Osasuna
0.38 xG 3.67
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 6
128 Passes 389
58% Pass Accuracy 85%
6 Box Touches 43
3 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chiclana vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna ran out comfortable winners over Chiclana 5-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Osasuna as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Chiclana had 32% of the ball to Osasuna's 68%, shots finished 5-23, expected goals 0.38 to 3.67.

What was the final score of Chiclana vs Osasuna?

Chiclana 0-5 Osasuna in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiclana vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Chiclana 23%, draw 12%, Osasuna 64%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osasuna), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Osasuna) ✓ Over 2.5
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