Spaeri 2-2 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gürcitan Cup, 5 Nov 2024

Spaeri
2-2 HT 0-1
Gagra
📅05/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spaeri EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spaeri
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gagra
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
12.12.2022 Spaeri Spaeri 3-1 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spaeri
2-2
AWAY Gagra
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spaeri vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spaeri and Gagra couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gagra at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spaeri had 52% of the ball to Gagra's 48%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Spaeri vs Gagra?

Spaeri 2-2 Gagra in the Gürcitan Cup on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spaeri vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Spaeri 27%, draw 27%, Gagra 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gagra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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