Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.13/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.80
-1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
29.04.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-2 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
26.08.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 3-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
19.06.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
14.02.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
04.09.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1-1
AWAY Defensor Sporting
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Montevideo Wanderers and Defensor Sporting shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Uruguay - Premier League on 5 Nov 2024. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 48% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 52%, shots finished 14-13.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.67 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting?

Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 29%, draw 29%, Defensor Sporting 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Defensor Sporting) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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