Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-1 Hamburger SV (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
-6.5pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.9pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburger SV (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.65/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.65
-18% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
25.5 Crosses 14.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hamburger SV (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 1
12 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 0
25.11.2023 Hamburger SV (K) Hamburger SV (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
2-1
AWAY Hamburger SV (K)
1.34 xG 0.58
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
334 Passes 179
75% Pass Accuracy 62%
19 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Hamburger SV (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen (K) nicked a narrow win over Hamburger SV (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayer Leverkusen (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen (K) had 61% of the ball to Hamburger SV (K)'s 39%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.34 to 0.58.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Hamburger SV (K)?

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-1 Hamburger SV (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Hamburger SV (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen (K) 67%, draw 19%, Hamburger SV (K) 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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