Udarnik Kurilovec 2-1 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 5 Nov 2025

Udarnik Kurilovec
2-1 HT 2-0
Istra 1961
📅05/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup – 2025/2026

Udarnik Kurilovec vs Istra 1961 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
59%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
13%
+7.3pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.9pp
59%
Away Win
68%
-9.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.3pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Udarnik Kurilovec v Istra 1961 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udarnik Kurilovec EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 72%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.81/3.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.65
+19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Udarnik Kurilovec vs Istra 1961 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udarnik Kurilovec
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Istra 1961
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 11
The Meetings
25.09.2019 Udarnik Kurilovec 2-2 HT 2-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIRK
POST-MATCH Udarnik Kurilovec vs Istra 1961
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Udarnik Kurilovec edged past Istra 1961 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Istra 1961 at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Udarnik Kurilovec vs Istra 1961?

Udarnik Kurilovec 2-1 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udarnik Kurilovec vs Istra 1961?

Before kick-off our model rated an Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Udarnik Kurilovec 20%, draw 21%, Istra 1961 59%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Istra 1961) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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