Ural 1-0 Chelyabinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 5 Nov 2025

Ural
1-0 HT 1-0
Chelyabinsk
📅05/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2025/2026

Ural vs Chelyabinsk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+1.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ural v Chelyabinsk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelyabinsk EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.96/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.48
+21% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0

Ural 1-0 Chelyabinsk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
1-0
AWAY Chelyabinsk
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ural vs Chelyabinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural squeezed past Chelyabinsk 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ural had 42% of the ball to Chelyabinsk's 58%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Ural vs Chelyabinsk?

Ural 1-0 Chelyabinsk in the Russia - FNL on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Chelyabinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Ural 62%, draw 22%, Chelyabinsk 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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