Karabağ U19 0-5 Chelsea U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
12.23
Draw
13%
8.78
Away
73%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
10%
27.0
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
41%
4.57
4-5 Goals
25%
2.44
6+ Goals
24%
1.68
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 4.57 — our 41% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
63%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
8%
+6.1pp
13%
Draw
11%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ U19 EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea U19 EU Bookmakers 97%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
-100% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
242 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karabağ U19
0-5
AWAY Chelsea U19
0.19 xG 2.21
20% Ball Possession 80%
6 Total Shots 26
1 Shots on Target 13
0 Corners 7
102 Passes 657
55% Pass Accuracy 91%
3 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Karabağ U19 vs Chelsea U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U19 cruised past Karabağ U19 5-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea U19 as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Karabağ U19 had 20% of the ball to Chelsea U19's 80%, shots finished 6-26, expected goals 0.19 to 2.21.

What was the final score of Karabağ U19 vs Chelsea U19?

Karabağ U19 0-5 Chelsea U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ U19 vs Chelsea U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Karabağ U19 14%, draw 13%, Chelsea U19 73%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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